York – Ebor Meeting, Day 2 Preview

August 20, 2015
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I hope you followed our tips yesterday and the staking plan because if you did then you are nursing a 13 unit profit and with something to play with again today. It doesn’t get any easier today and as yesterdays defeat of Golden Horn by a 50/1 shot shows, they aren’t machines. Six really good races again today with reasons to fancy quite a few on ground described again as Good to Soft. It was wearing yesterday so you need to stay the trip well and yet again well done to Aiden O’Brien in pulling out Gleneagles. He wouldnt have got home and the Balldoyle master has preserved an impeccable record for his stallion. Sad as it was for racing to have the event ruined by weather, that is no-ones fault. Today we fight again – No Spartans die today!!!

 

william haggas1.55 DBS Yearling Stakes Cl2 6 furlongs

Hard to be dogmatic about too much in this race as it has loads of runners all having showed decent form at some stage but on ratings only about 6 should be capable of winning and that’s the problem. They improve so much from one run to the next and its hard to say when the improvement stops or continues. I am looking at four in the race. Excessable for Tim Easterby who ran well 2 back and would take the beating on that run and wasn’t quite as good when beaten by Lathom in the Super Sprint, but that’s a handicap in all but name and he is the type. Orvar might have been overlooked for Richard Hannon. He was only a bit further behind Shalaa at Newmarket and Rantan for David Barron might be capable of a lot better after only two starts, the last a winner. However its hard to ignore Tasleet for William Haggas, whose horses are flying and who has seen winners come from races he has won and was not far behind Shalaa, at Goodwood, who is the years sensation.

My two are:

2 units e/w Tasleet @ 2/1 Bet 365

1 unit e/w Excessable @ 12/1 Bet 365

 

Mark Johnston2.30 Pinsent Masons, Lowther Stakes Group 2 Fillies 6f

This race revolves around 4 horses in my book. The outstanding potential of Lumiere for Mark Johnston, who was visually so impressive at Newmarket but is quite a skinny price. Easton Angel, who has being crying out for some dig in the ground and now has it, for Michael Dodds, who everyone would love to have a winner (only me if I back it). Besharah who we backed heavily last time out when he won at Ascot on soft ground and again was mighty clever and the one they might have missed, Ashadihan, 2nd at Royal Ascot and put away for this race by trainer Kevin Ryan, unexposed with just the 2 runs. I have a punting saying which is – believe your eyes and for that reason I have to go with Lumiere and Mark Johnston in this race.

Our tips :

2 units win Lumiere @ 15/8 Sportingbet

1 unit e/w Ashadihan @ 7/1 Sportingbet

 

david omeara3.05 Clipper Logistics Handicap Class 2. 1 mile

Love these one mile handicaps. So too does David O’Meara. He just has 8 of the 20 to saddle up in this race this year. So lets take his first. I say He’s No Saint is the best of them on form and potential improvement and the jockey booking of Danny Tudhope would seem to reinforce that view. I also like Penitent who hinted at a return to form last time out at Haydock on ground and a trip that doesn’t show him off to his best – today does. I am in danger of following Hugo Palmers Extremeity over a cliff but anyone who punts knows you would rather lose a few bob backing him than him going in at a huge price – which he will sooner or later. Lastly I think, Your Fired, for Karl Burke ticks all the right boxes in a race with lots of runners ticking lots of boxes. So lets go for those who have most in their favour. A middle draw and scope to improve, that gives me two. (I will also be backing Extremity but you don’t need to, this is my funeral)

1 unit e/w Your Fired  @ 7/1 with Sportingbet

1 unit e/w He’s No Saint @ 9/1 Sportingbet

 

jim bolger3.40 Darley Yorkshire Oaks – Group 1 1 mile 4f

I heard Arabian Queens owner, Jeff Smith say  yesterday that he thought the girls of 2015 were better than the boys and had been for the last 2 years. That may well be the case. Covert Love may well win today as her record is beyond questioning and she has done it now at the highest level. Not much clever about that and of course not a lot of value. She seemed to have the measure of the 2nd and 3rd favourite last time out, although both were gaining close to the line. I am going to row in with Pleaseach for Jim Bolger. I think 12f is her trip and I thought she was given a shocking ride at Royal Ascot, where she should have won. She is a bit of value against the other 3 and I think good enough to win this race. She is also massively over priced if you read Jim Bolgers comments back in June.

Our bet

2 units e/w Pleaseach @ 8/1 with Bet 365

 

Luca Cumani4.20 Sir Henry Cecil Galtres Listed Stakes 1 mile 4f

I have again put a ring around 4 of these. Jordan Princess who is fancied by quite a few but to me she looks a little exposed. Suffused looked good two back but her progression seems to have halted with defeat last time out. Koora, to me looked mighty good winning at Doncaster when we backed her and Desert Snow  has a strong profile for this race. In what has seen just 3 favourites in 10 years win, it is not a race to get carried away with. I dont now if a 3yo or 4yo has more chance so we will have one of each. The unexposed Luca Cumani runner Koora, who I think has loads of scope and the Godolphin 4 year old Desert Snow who has had just one run in 2015 and it was a good third, her best RPR of her career and one that she is bound to improve on again.

My selections :

1 unit e./w Koora @ 7/1 with Sportingbet

1 unit e/w Desert Snow @ 11/1 Sportingbet

 

charlie appelby4.55 Eventmasters Fillies Handicap 7 furlongs

Spangled looks one to keep on the right side of with a 10 length victory last time. The handicapper didnt miss her but her RPR suggests she may well still have a bit in hand. Secret Hint seems to be running in to form and may just give them all something to think about after a good placed effort suggesting she has a decent chance at these weights and Mistrusting who has decided to run with a 6lb penatly, and rightly so. I cant ignore the huge figure that Mistrusting ran to last time out and whilst she is favourite we need to be with her. I also thinks there is more to come from Secret Hint and she will also carry our money in the last.

2 units e/w Mistrusting @ 7/2 with Sportingbet

1 unit e/w Secret Hint @ 11/1 with Sportingbet